Thursday, September 12, 2013

Gold...Gold...Gold

Its getting kind of tiring. After doing my own analysis I was expecting gold to go back down to $1348/oz then follow its bullish trend from August. But.... it broke through that resistance zone this morning quite strongly, down $42 so far. The seasonal pattern of gold doesn't appear like it is going to hold true this year. Although we still have over half of September left, the technicals are not looking good for a bull run as has typically characterized the month.




But I guess its to be expected. Not enough physical gold relative to whats traded, and what there is is locked up in vaults controlled by the same people. Its ridiculous that when the demand for physical gold is increasing, taking a further toll on the physical supply, we still see a dropping gold price. I know the common theme is that the bankers and government are trying to steer the world away from an abandonment of fiat currency and a debt based economic system, or that big money is trying to move physical gold from west to east in anticipation of the collapse of the western economies...(Whatever, lets just get the charade over with so I can make some money with a few horrendously undervalued PM stocks.)

If in fact it is situation number one, the manipulation of PM prices to stave off the fall of paper/debt based economies, it has me wondering...what is the long term plan? I mean, surely, such manipulation can go on for only so long. Is it to drive the price so far down that it appears as if gold is no longer a solid investment, effectively trying to show that the bull market is over? The fact that a large part of the global gold market is buying for their fondness of the metal itself, and not purely for its investment potential, is an important fact in itself. Demand exists and will exist. A major drive down in price would serve to render a large number of projects uneconomical, or only marginally economical, thus creating a smaller supply and more demand in the face of dwindling supply. Doesn't really make a whole lot of sense to me. 

Too me, it is much more likely that we are witnessing the stage being set for a number of large, high winning, trades. The manipulation is clear. The daily chart shows the $1348 resistance zone was broken within a minute, with shares being dumped into the thinly traded late night market. We saw this the last time as well....large amounts of shares traded sold into the market late at night where there is no bulls around to defend the POG....not tremendously elaborate, but sneaky non-the-less.


We will have to wait and see if gold tries to relcaim that $1348 level or if it continues its down trend. If the later... I believe that we will see gold go down to the $1200 dollar level.


At least these big attacks leave a number of solid companies sitting around at nicely
discounted prices....Perhaps now, more than ever, it is time to find companies with world class projects and enough cash in the treasury to ride out the storm. Or, play the game the way the manipulators do. Either way, its a shame how many people have lost money investing under the idea of a freely traded market...myself included. But...there is little point, and no intelligence, in trying to play against the market.


I plan on doing a more in depth technical analysis/commentary on the fall of gold starting at the initial large take-down in April. This will happen soon, once I have a better understanding of golds next set of movements.Don't get your hopes to high up though....who really knows what going on...much less me.

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

CXB JV with BTO

Not that it was really a surprise as decision needed to be made yesterday, but Calibre has granted further opportunity for BTO to earn in on their Primavera project and surrounding borosi concessions.


Will be nice to see this thing drilled out a bit more. After those last trenching results there is a lot of anticipation from those following this story.

Saturday, September 7, 2013

IKN Telling It like It Is

Good post from incakolanews about the reality about a number of the capital venture companies in the PMs industry.



 Read it HERE, I highly recommend it.

Spanish Mountain Gold Closes Financing

A few days old...I know, but still feel like its worth posting.


I had looked at this company a number of times but never pulled the trigger. If I recall correctly, they had some issues with financing, first nations agreements, and the grade was not quite what I liked, given the other discounted higher grade projects out there.


That being said, they raised 3 million the other day. The price has crossed the 50DMA recently, and with this news release we may see a more definitive change in direction. I'll be watching this play over the next week.


Click here for the news release.

Dundee buying Sphere

Last 10 trades of the day were from Dundee on the buy.


Stronger support on the ask side of $0.02 than in the bid.


I think that things may be building up for a swing up to 3-4 cents early next week. I still own a number of shares averaged at $0.01. 

Further Discourse on the Trading of SBB

I'm getting ready to re-enter SBB. Problems I'm seeing now though is that the price action may be changing. Instead of tracing back down to the support line at around $1 it may follow the trend line which starts at the low of $0.81. As well, the price has closed right at the 50DMA. Monday will be interesting to see if it goes back above the 50DMA, which I will take as confirmation of a change in price action and a change to the trend line.



Thursday, September 5, 2013

Boston Scientific

Go figures...my most successful security over the last year and a half hasn't been a PM stock. Boston Scientific has done well over the last year...just take a look at its one year chart. When I bought the security, I really knew very little about the company....but I liked their chart and entered in between $5.80 and $6.00.


Since then I've been looking at swing trading opportunities in the trend channel that has formed starting at around $7.00. I like the quick breakouts up to the line of resistance.